The Warmest 100 of 2013

In the weeks leading up the 2012 Hottest 100, Brisbane statistician Nick Drewe published a list of what he statistically believed to be the positions for the 2012 Hottest 100. Using social media sites such as Facebook and Twitter, and taking advantage of the social connectivity Triple J offered with their Hottest 100 voting system, Drewe was able to see the votes that people had made in the Hottest 100 voting period.

The following year, Triple J made changes to the voting process and the ability to share votes via social media as a means to prevent Drewe from creating the Warmest 100 for a second time. Initially, this worked and Drewe did indeed decline to do another Warmest 100 prediction. However, following support from Australian-born economist David Quach, who suggested investigating other social media avenues as a means to predict the Hottest 100 again, the 2013 Warmest 100 was posted online. However, the tightened social media sharing meant that only 1,779 ballots (or 0.11% of votes) were counted, as opposed to 35,081 votes (2.7% of votes) from the year before.

The list was discovered to have been less accurate than the previous year's, with 2012 featuring 92 of the predicted songs making the list, with 8 being matched to their correct position. However, the 2013 list featured 85 of the predicted songs making the list, with only 4 being matched to their correct position. However, this has been attributed to utilising a smaller sample size of data than the previous year.

The greatest disparity between its prediction and final placing was FIDLAR's 'No Waves', which was predicted to reach #81, but actually charted 113 positions lower at #194

• Quick Links:
• Warmest 100 Prediction
• Hottest 100 Positions

Warmest 100 Predictions

This is the Warmest 100 list, as published online in the days leading up the 2013 Hottest 100 countdown. The actual positions that the tracks reached in the countdown are marked alongside, along with the difference between the predicted and actual outcomes of the songs.

15 tracks that were predicted to have made the countdown were absent from the final countdown, but were revealed to feature in the #101-200 list.
These tracks are marked in bold.

Warmest 100

Hottest 100 Positions

This is the official 2013 Hottest 100 list, as counted down on January 26th, 2014. The positions that the tracks were predicted to reach are marked alongside, along with the difference between the actual and predicted outcomes of the songs.

14 tracks that made the countdown were not predicted to have made the list. These tracks are marked in bold.

Hottest 100