The Warmest 100 of 2013

In the weeks leading up the 2012 Hottest 100, Brisbane statistician Nick Drewe published a list of what he statistically believed to be the positions for the 2012 Hottest 100. Using social media sites such as Facebook and Twitter, and taking advantage of the social connectivity Triple J offered with their Hottest 100 voting system, Drewe was able to see the votes that people had made in the Hottest 100 voting period.

The following year, Triple J made changes to the voting process and the ability to share votes via social media as a means to prevent Drewe from creating the Warmest 100 for a second time. Initially, this worked and Drewe did indeed decline to do another Warmest 100 prediction. However, following support from Australian-born economist David Quach, who suggested investigating other social media avenues as a means to predict the Hottest 100 again, the 2013 Warmest 100 was posted online. However, the tightened social media sharing meant that only 1,779 ballots (or 0.11% of votes) were counted, as opposed to 35,081 votes (2.7% of votes) from the year before.

The list was discovered to have been less accurate than the previous year's, with 2012 featuring 92 of the predicted songs making the list, with 8 being matched to their correct position. However, the 2013 list featured 85 of the predicted songs making the list, with only 4 being matched to their correct position. However, this has been attributed to utilising a smaller sample size of data than the previous year.

The greatest disparity between its prediction and final placing was FIDLAR's 'No Waves', which was predicted to reach #81, but actually charted 113 positions lower at #194


Warmest 100 Predictions

This is the Warmest 100 list, as published online in the days leading up the 2013 Hottest 100 countdown. The actual positions that the tracks reached in the countdown are marked alongside, along with the difference between the predicted and actual outcomes of the songs.

15 tracks that were predicted to have made the countdown were absent from the final countdown, but were revealed to feature in the #101-200 list.
These tracks are marked in bold.

Warmest 100
# Title Artist Hottest 100 # Difference
1 Riptide Vance Joy 1 Match
2 Do I Wanna Know? Arctic Monkeys 4 -2
3 Drop The Game Flume & Chet Faker 5 -2
4 Why'd You Only Call Me When You're High? Arctic Monkeys 6 -2
5 Covered In Chrome Violent Soho 14 -9
6 Is This How You Feel? The Preatures 9 -3
7 Retrograde James Blake 13 -6
8 Royals Lorde 2 +6
9 Take Me RÜFÜS 21 -12
10 Strong London Grammar 10 Match
11 Given The Chance The Kite String Tangle 19 -8
12 Resolution Matt Corby 8 +4
13 My Number Foals 29 -16
14 Black Skinhead Kanye West 20 -6
15 Get Lucky (feat. Pharrell Williams) Daft Punk 3 +12
16 Smiles Don't Lie Thundamentals 32 -16
17 Desert Night RÜFÜS 34 -17
18 Arabella Arctic Monkeys 18 Match
19 Pizza Guy Touch Sensitive 38 -19
20 When A Fire Starts To Burn Disclosure 23 -3
21 Stand Still (feat. Micky Green) Flight Facilities 48 -27
22 The Wire HAIM 11 +11
23 Ways To Go Grouplove 33 -10
24 Young And Beautiful Lana Del Rey 7 +17
25 Gun Chvrches 37 -12
26 Recover Chvrches 28 -2
27 Team Lorde 15 +12
28 Ratchet Bloc Party 36 -8
29 Tennis Court Lorde 12 +17
30 Step Vampire Weekend 26 +4
31 Your Body Is A Weapon The Wombats 25 +6
32 Falling HAIM 27 +5
33 Scar Cloud Control 52 -19
34 Diane Young Vampire Weekend 31 +3
35 Born To Die The Amity Affliction 40 -5
36 Melt (feat. Kilo Kish) Chet Faker 65 -29
37 Without You (feat. Totally Enormous Extinct Dinosaurs) Dillon Francis 99 -62
38 3005 Childish Gambino 43 -5
39 Reflektor Arcade Fire 16 +23
40 Listen To Soul, Listen To Blues SAFIA 76 -36
41 Fuckin' Problems (feat. Drake, 2 Chainz & Kendrick Lamar) A$AP Rocky 79 -38
42 The Breach Dustin Tebbutt 44 -2
43 Embrace Goldroom 62 -19
44 Australia Street Sticky Fingers 70 -26
45 Lose Yourself To Dance (feat. Pharrell Williams) Daft Punk 17 +28
46 White Lies Max Frost 42 +4
47 Sangria Remi 85 -38
48 Graceless The National 64 -16
49 Get Lucky San Cisco 39 +10
50 Youngbloods (feat. Ahren Stringer) Illy 77 -27
51 Luck Now Big Scary 96 -45
52 Always Panama 80 -28
53 You & Me (feat. Eliza Doolittle) (Flume Remix) Disclosure 63 -10
54 Hey Now London Grammar 35 +19
55 Global Concepts Robert Delong 45 +10
56 Ohio Kingswood 53 +3
57 Elevate St. Lucia 93 -36
58 Keep On Running Andy Bull 57 +1
59 I Spy Mikhael Paskalev 75 -16
60 Instant Crush (feat. Julian Casablancas) Daft Punk 58 +2
61 Afterlife Arcade Fire 54 +7
62 Free (feat. Emeli Sandé) Rudimental 47 +15
63 Fantasy MS MR 78 -15
64 Alive Empire Of The Sun 30 +34
65 Thank You (feat. Q-Tip, Lil Wayne & Kanye West) Busta Rhymes 73 -8
66 Bound 2 Kanye West 59 +7
67 Wasting My Young Years London Grammar 61 +6
68 Waiting All Night (feat. Ella Eyre) Rudimental 24 +44
69 White Noise (feat. AlunaGeorge) Disclosure 69 Match
70 Red Light, Gren Light Dune Rats 133 -63
71 Summer Forgive Me British India 84 -13
72 Dip Danny Brown 113 -41
73 Dojo Rising Cloud Control 82 -9
74 If I Could Change Your Mind HAIM 56 +18
75 Ausmusic Month Medley Illy 66 +9
76 Harlequin Dream Boy & Bear 55 +21
77 Miracle Mile Cold War Kids 109 -32
78 What Doesn't Kill You Jake Bugg 101 -23
79 Blood On The Leaves Kanye West 114 -35
80 Doin' It Right (feat. Panda Bear) Daft Punk 49 +31
81 No Waves FIDLAR 194 -113
82 Help Me Lose My Mind (feat. London Grammar) Disclosure 110 -28
83 Tonight RÜFÜS 91 -8
84 Unbelievers Vampire Weekend 90 -6
85 Eat, Sleep, Rave, Repeat (feat. Beardyman) Fatboy Slim & Riva Star 51 +34
86 Youth Daughter 102 -16
87 Shadow Moses Bring Me The Horizon 92 -5
88 Dead Star Shine Horrorshow 98 -10
89 Lies Chvrches 60 +29
90 Sleepwalking Bring Me The Horizon 86 +4
91 Easy Easy King Krule 149 -58
92 Southern Sun Boy & Bear 41 +51
93 F For You Disclosure 145 -52
94 Mr Little Jeans Oh Sailor 105 -11
95 Leeward Side Josh Pyke 88 +7
96 Baby I Am Nobody Now Andy Bull 81 +15
97 Everything You Wanted Clubfeet 134 -37
98 Need U (100%) (feat. A*M*E) Duke Dumont 156 -58
99 Do Or Die (feat. Childish Gambino) Flux Pavilion 108 -9
100 Right Back At It Again A Day To Remember 116 -16


Hottest 100 Positions

This is the official 2013 Hottest 100 list, as counted down on January 26th, 2014. The positions that the tracks were predicted to reach are marked alongside, along with the difference between the actual and predicted outcomes of the songs.

14 tracks that made the countdown were not predicted to have made the list. These tracks are marked in bold.

Hottest 100
# Title Artist Warmest 100 # Difference
1 Riptide Vance Joy 1 Match
2 Royals Lorde 8 -6
3 Get Lucky (feat. Pharrell Williams) Daft Punk 15 -12
4 Do I Wanna Know? Arctic Monkeys 2 +2
5 Drop The Game Flume & Chet Faker 3 +2
6 Why'd You Only Call Me When You're High? Arctic Monkeys 4 +2
7 Young And Beautiful Lana Del Rey 24 -17
8 Resolution Matt Corby 12 -4
9 Is This How You Feel? The Preatures 6 +3
10 Strong London Grammar 10 Match
11 The Wire HAIM 22 -11
12 Tennis Court Lorde 29 -17
13 Retrograde James Blake 7 +6
14 Covered In Chrome Violent Soho 5 9
15 Team Lorde 27 -12
16 Reflektor Arcade Fire 39 -23
17 Lose Yourself To Dance (feat. Pharrell Williams) Daft Punk 45 -28
18 Arabella Arctic Monkeys 18 Match
19 Given The Chance The Kite String Tangle 11 +8
20 Black Skinhead Kanye West 14 +6
21 Take Me RÜFÜS 9 +12
22 Lanterns Birds Of Tokyo
23 When A Fire Starts To Burn Disclosure 20 +3
24 Waiting All Night (feat. Ella Eyre) Rudimental 68 -44
25 Your Body Is A Weapon The Wombats 31 -6
26 Step Vampire Weekend 30 -4
27 Falling HAIM 32 -5
28 Recover Chvrches 26 +2
29 My Number Foals 13 +16
30 Alive Empire Of The Sun 64 -34
31 Diane Young Vampire Weekend 34 -3
32 Smiles Don't Lie Thundamentals 16 +16
33 Ways To Go Grouplove 23 +10
34 Desert Night RÜFÜS 17 +17
35 Hey Now London Grammar 54 -19
36 Ratchet Bloc Party 28 +8
37 Gun Chvrches 25 +12
38 Pizza Guy Touch Sensitive 19 +19
39 Get Lucky San Cisco 49 -10
40 Born To Die The Amity Affliction 35 +5
41 Southern Sun Boy & Bear 92 -51
42 White Lies Max Frost 46 -4
43 3005 Childish Gambino 38 5
44 The Breach Dustin Tebbutt 42 +2
45 Global Concepts Robert Delong 55 -10
46 If I Had A Tail Queens Of The Stone Age
47 Free (feat. Emeli Sandé) Rudimental 62 -15
48 Stand Still (feat. Micky Green) Flight Facilities 21 +27
49 Doin' It Right (feat. Panda Bear) Daft Punk 80 -31
50 Love Me Again John Newman
51 Eat, Sleep, Rave, Repeat (feat. Beardyman) Fatboy Slim & Riva Star 85 -34
52 Scar Cloud Control 33 +19
53 Ohio Kingswood 56 -3
54 Afterlife Arcade Fire 61 -7
55 Harlequin Dream Boy & Bear 76 -21
56 If I Could Change Your Mind HAIM 74 -18
57 Keep On Running Andy Bull 58 -1
58 Instant Crush (feat. Julian Casablancas) Daft Punk 60 -2
59 Bound 2 Kanye West 66 -7
60 Lies Chvrches 89 -29
61 Wasting My Young Years London Grammar 67 -6
62 Embrace Goldroom 43 +19
63 You & Me (feat. Eliza Doolittle) (Flume Remix) Disclosure 53 +10
64 Graceless The National 48 +16
65 Melt (feat. Kilo Kish) Chet Faker 36 +29
66 Ausmusic Month Medley Illy 75 -9
67 Act Your Age Bliss N Eso
68 Sweet Nothing Something For Kate
69 White Noise (feat. AlunaGeorge) Disclosure 69 Match
70 Australia Street Sticky Fingers 44 +26
71 Changing Of The Seasons Two Door Cinema Club
72 I Sat By The Ocean Queens Of The Stone Age
73 Thank You (feat. Q-Tip, Lil Wayne & Kanye West) Busta Rhymes 65 +8
74 Jessica (feat. Ezra Koenig) Major Lazer
75 I Spy Mikhael Paskalev 59 +16
76 Listen To Soul, Listen To Blues SAFIA 83 -7
77 Youngbloods (feat. Ahren Stringer) Illy 50 +27
78 Fantasy MS MR 63 +15
79 Fuckin' Problems (feat. Drake, 2 Chainz & Kendrick Lamar) A$AP Rocky 41 +38
80 Always Panama 52 +28
81 Baby I Am Nobody Now Andy Bull 96 -15
82 Dojo Rising Cloud Control 73 +9
83 The End The Jezabels
84 Summer Forgive Me British India 71 +13
85 Sangria Remi 47 +38
86 Sleepwalking Bring Me The Horizon 90 -4
87 Only One John Butler Trio
88 Leeward Side Josh Pyke 95 -7
89 Brighter Than Gold The Cat Empire
90 Unbelievers Vampire Weekend 84 +6
91 Tonight RÜFÜS 83 +8
92 Shadow Moses Bring Me The Horizon 87 +5
93 Elevate St. Lucia 57 +36
94 House Of Dreams Bliss N Eso
95 Play With Fire Vance Joy
96 Luck Now Big Scary 51 +45
97 My God Is The Sun Queens Of The Stone Age
98 Dead Star Shine Horrorshow 88 +10
99 Without You (feat. Totally Enormous Extinct Dinosaurs) Dillon Francis 37 +62
100 We Are Karnivool



Site Design is © 2011 Nova all rights reserved. Luiszuno.com