The Warmest 100 of 2012

In the weeks leading up the 2012 Hottest 100, Brisbane statistician Nick Drewe published a list of what he statistically believed to be the positions for the 2012 Hottest 100. Using social media sites such as Facebook and Twitter, and taking advantage of the social connectivity Triple J offered with their Hottest 100 voting system, Drewe was able to see the votes that people had made in the Hottest 100 voting period. Drewe collected 35,081 votes (approximiately 2.7% of the official vote), from 3,602 voters that had posted their votes to their social media profiles, and using this, was able to create a predicted list for the upcoming Hottest 100, and posted it to a website, jokingly titled, The Warmest 100.

In the end, it was discovered that his predictions were reasonably accurate. 92 of the predicted songs made it into the list, with 8 being correctly predicted to their correct positions. The 8 songs predicted, but absent from the list, were revealed to feature in the #101-200 list. The songs that made up the top 12 were corectly guessed, with 7 of those songs being matched to their correct positions, including the top 3.

The greatest disparity between its prediction and final placing was Japandroids' 'The House That Heaven Built', which was predicted to reach #56, but actually charted 67 positions lower at #123.


Warmest 100 Predictions

This is the Warmest 100 list, as published online in the weeks leading up the 2012 Hottest 100 countdown. The actual positions that the tracks reached in the countdown are marked alongside, along with the difference between the predicted and actual outcomes of the songs.

8 tracks that were predicted to have made the countdown were absent from the final countdown, but were revealed to feature in the #101-200 list.
These tracks are marked in bold.

Warmest 100
# Title Artist Hottest 100 # Difference
1 Thrift Shop (feat. Wanz) Macklemore & Ryan Lewis 1 Match
2 Little Talks Of Monsters And Men 2 Match
3 Breezeblocks Alt-J 3 Match
4 Lost Frank Ocean 8 -4
5 Elephant Tame Impala 7 -2
6 Holdin On Flume 4 +2
7 I Will Wait Mumford & Sons 5 +2
8 Get Free (feat. Amber Coffman) Major Lazer 6 +2
9 Feels Like We Only Go Backwards Tame Impala 9 Match
10 My Gun The Rubens 10 Match
11 Sweet Nothing (feat. Florence Welch) Calvin Harris 11 Match
12 Sleepless (feat. Jezzabell Doran) Flume 12 Match
13 Angels The xx 19 -6
14 Gold On The Ceiling The Black Keys 13 +1
15 Clair de Lune (feat. Christine Hoberg) Flight Facilities 17 -2
16 I Love It (feat. Charli XCX) Icona Pop 14 +2
17 Trembling Hands The Temper Trap 22 -5
18 Oblivion Grimes 38 -20
19 Default Django Django 28 -9
20 Same Love (feat. Mary Lambert) Macklemore & Ryan Lewis 15 +5
21 I'm Into You Chet Faker 24 -3
22 Not Giving In (feat. John Newman & Alex Clare) Rudimental 16 +6
23 Coming Down Ball Park Music 23 Match
24 Latch (feat. Sam Smith) Disclosure 21 +3
25 HyperParadise (Flume Remix) Hermitude 18 +7
26 Bangarang (feat. Sirah) Skrillex 25 +1
27 Feel The Love (feat. John Newman) Rudimental 20 +7
28 Laura Bat For Lashes 30 -2
29 Surrender Ball Park Music 27 +2
30 Gasoline Alpine 31 -1
31 R U Mine? Arctic Monkeys 40 -9
32 Take A Walk Passion Pit 46 -14
33 Paddling Out Miike Snow 36 -3
34 Ho Hey The Lumineers 43 -9
35 Spectrum (Say My Name) (Calvin Harris Remix) Florence And The Machine 32 +3
36 Thinkin Bout You Frank Ocean 56 -20
37 Cherry Lips Loon Lake 29 +8
38 Hold On Alabama Shakes 39 -1
39 Sun Two Door Cinema Club 37 +2
40 Dear Science Seth Sentry 26 +14
41 Hurricane MS MR 42 -1
42 Born To Die Lana Del Rey 34 +8
43 Can't Get Better Than This Parachute Youth 33 +10
44 Simple Song The Shins 74 -30
45 I Got Burned (feat. Tim Rogers) The Bamboos 54 +-9
46 Run Alone 360 35 +11
47 I Can Make You Love Me British India 41 +6
48 Genesis Grimes 65 -17
49 Ghosts The Presets 52 +-3
50 Fineshrine Purity Ring 85 -35
51 Love Interruption Jack White 60 +-9
52 Madness Muse 75 -23
53 Fred Astaire San Cisco 48 +5
54 Mountain Sound Of Monsters And Men 47 +7
55 Tessellate Alt-J 64 -9
56 The House That Heaven Built Japandroids 123 -67
57 Promises The Presets 70 -13
58 Swimming Pools (Drank) Kendrick Lamar 71 -13
59 Young And Dumb (feat. Bertie Blackman) Chance Waters 45 +14
60 This Fire Birds Of Tokyo 51 +9
61 Wild Things San Cisco 53 +8
62 Household Goods Totally Enormous Extinct Dinosaurs 78 -16
63 Cough Cough Everything Everything 100 -37
64 Love This Cosmo Jarvis 59 +5
65 Clique Kanye West, Jay-Z & Big Sean 96 -31
66 Don't Save Me Haim 101 -35
67 All The Rowboats Regina Spektor 72 -5
68 Bad Girls M.I.A. 99 -31
69 Super Rich Kids (feat. Earl Sweatshirt) Frank Ocean 80 -11
70 45 The Gaslight Anthem 94 -24
71 Warrior (feat. Mark Foster & A-Trak) Kimbra 98 -27
72 Disparate Youth Santigold 82 -10
73 Wolf First Aid Kit 63 +10
74 Draw A Crowd Ben Folds Five 73 +1
75 Follow The Sun Xavier Rudd 44 +31
76 Sleep Alone Two Door Cinema Club 90 -14
77 Caress Your Soul Sticky Fingers 61 +16
78 The Best We Got The Rubens 66 +12
79 My Heart Is On Fire Asta 50 +29
80 Mercy Kanye West, Big Sean, Pusha T & 2 Chainz 111 -31
81 Chained The xx 112 -31
82 Survival Expert Something For Kate 103 -21
83 Pyramids Frank Ocean 125 -42
84 Silhouettes Avicii 68 +16
85 She's A Riot The Jungle Giants 83 +2
86 Andy Last Dinosaurs 95 -9
87 Just What I Am (feat. King Chip) Kid Cudi 62 +25
88 Little Black Submarines The Black Keys 79 +9
89 Forever Haim 106 -17
90 Babel Mumford & Sons 58 +32
91 I'm Shakin' Jack White 97 -6
92 Float Away Seth Sentry 57 +35
93 Lonely Boy Matt Corby 69 +24
94 Internet Friends Knife Party 55 +39
95 Idea Of Happiness Van She 105 -10
96 Something Good Alt-J 81 +15
97 Spiritus Lisa Mitchell 92 +5
98 Chronicles Of A Fallen Love (feat. Greta Svabo Bech) The Bloody Beetroots 87 +11
99 Love Is All I Got Feed Me & Crystal Fighters 77 +22
100 Rattling The Keys To The Kingdom Hilltop Hoods 84 +16


Hottest 100 Positions

This is the official 2012 Hottest 100 list, as counted down on January 26th, 2013. The positions that the tracks were predicted to reach are marked alongside, along with the difference between the actual and predicted outcomes of the songs.

8 tracks that made the countdown were not predicted to have made the list. These tracks are marked in bold.

Hottest 100
# Title Artist Warmest 100 # Difference
1 Thrift Shop (feat. Wanz) Macklemore & Ryan Lewis 1 Match
2 Little Talks Of Monsters And Men 2 Match
3 Breezeblocks Alt-J 3 Match
4 Holdin On Flume 6 -2
5 I Will Wait Mumford & Sons 7 -2
6 Get Free (feat. Amber Coffman) Major Lazer 8 -2
7 Elephant Tame Impala 5 +2
8 Lost Frank Ocean 4 +4
9 Feels Like We Only Go Backwards Tame Impala 9 Match
10 My Gun The Rubens 10 Match
11 Sweet Nothing (feat. Florence Welch) Calvin Harris 11 Match
12 Sleepless (feat. Jezzabell Doran) Flume 12 Match
13 Gold On The Ceiling The Black Keys 14 -1
14 I Love It (feat. Charli XCX) Icona Pop 16 -2
15 Same Love (feat. Mary Lambert) Macklemore & Ryan Lewis 20 -5
16 Not Giving In (feat. John Newman & Alex Clare) Rudimental 22 -6
17 Clair de Lune (feat. Christine Hoberg) Flight Facilities 15 +2
18 HyperParadise (Flume Remix) Hermitude 25 -7
19 Angels The xx 13 +6
20 Feel The Love (feat. John Newman) Rudimental 27 -7
21 Latch (feat. Sam Smith) Disclosure 24 -3
22 Trembling Hands The Temper Trap 17 +5
23 Coming Down Ball Park Music 23 +Match
24 I'm Into You Chet Faker 21 +3
25 Bangarang (feat. Sirah) Skrillex 26 -1
26 Dear Science Seth Sentry 40 -14
27 Surrender Ball Park Music 29 -2
28 Default Django Django 19 +9
29 Cherry Lips Loon Lake 37 -8
30 Laura Bat For Lashes 28 +2
31 Gasoline Alpine 30 +1
32 Spectrum (Say My Name) (Calvin Harris Remix) Florence And The Machine 35 -3
33 Can't Get Better Than This Parachute Youth 43 -10
34 Born To Die Lana Del Rey 42 +-8
35 Run Alone 360 46 -11
36 Paddling Out Miike Snow 33 +3
37 Sun Two Door Cinema Club 39 -2
38 Oblivion Grimes 18 +20
39 Hold On Alabama Shakes 38 +1
40 R U Mine? Arctic Monkeys 31 +9
41 I Can Make You Love Me British India 47 -6
42 Hurricane MS MR 41 +1
43 Ho Hey The Lumineers 34 +9
44 Follow The Sun Xavier Rudd 75 -31
45 Young And Dumb (feat. Bertie Blackman) Chance Waters 59 -14
46 Take A Walk Passion Pit 32 +14
47 Mountain Sound Of Monsters And Men 54 -7
48 Fred Astaire San Cisco 53 -5
49 Brother Thundamentals
50 My Heart Is On Fire Asta 79 -29
51 This Fire Birds Of Tokyo 60 -9
52 Ghosts The Presets 49 +3
53 Wild Things San Cisco 61 -8
54 I Got Burned (feat. Tim Rogers) The Bamboos 45 +9
55 Internet Friends Knife Party 94 -39
56 Thinkin Bout You Frank Ocean 36 +20
57 Float Away Seth Sentry 92 -35
58 Babel Mumford & Sons 90 -32
59 Love This Cosmo Jarvis 64 -5
60 Love Interruption Jack White 51 +9
61 Caress Your Soul Sticky Fingers 77 -16
62 Just What I Am (feat. King Chip) Kid Cudi 87 -25
63 Wolf First Aid Kit 73 -10
64 Tessellate Alt-J 55 +9
65 Genesis Grimes 48 +17
66 The Best We Got The Rubens 78 -12
67 On Top (feat. T.Shirt) Flume
68 Silhouettes Avicii 84 -16
69 Lonely Boy Matt Corby 93 -24
70 Promises The Presets 57 +13
71 Swimming Pools (Drank) Kendrick Lamar 58 +13
72 All The Rowboats Regina Spektor 67 +5
73 Draw A Crowd Ben Folds Five 74 -1
74 Simple Song The Shins 44 +30
75 Madness Muse 52 +23
76 Heard It All Illy
77 Love Is All I Got Feed Me & Crystal Fighters 99 -22
78 Household Goods Totally Enormous Extinct Dinosaurs 62 +16
79 Little Black Submarines The Black Keys 88 -9
80 Super Rich Kids (feat. Earl Sweatshirt) Frank Ocean 69 +11
81 Something Good Alt-J 96 -15
82 Disparate Youth Santigold 72 +10
83 She's A Riot The Jungle Giants 85 -2
84 Rattling The Keys To The Kingdom Hilltop Hoods 100 -16
85 Fineshrine Purity Ring 50 +35
86 Summertime Sadness Lana Del Rey
87 Chronicles Of A Fallen Love (feat. Greta Svabo Bech) The Bloody Beetroots 98 -11
88 Down The Road C2C
89 Maybe Tomorrow (feat. Lilian Blue) Chance Waters
90 Sleep Alone Two Door Cinema Club 76 +14
91 So Good (feat. C1) Allday
92 Spiritus Lisa Mitchell 97 -5
93 Dance Bear Snakadaktal
94 45 The Gaslight Anthem 70 +24
95 Andy Last Dinosaurs 86 +9
96 Clique Kanye West, Jay-Z & Big Sean 65 +31
97 I'm Shakin' Jack White 91 +6
98 Warrior (feat. Mark Foster & A-Trak) Kimbra 71 +27
99 Bad Girls M.I.A. 68 +31
100 Cough Cough Everything Everything 63 +37



Site Design is © 2011 Nova all rights reserved. Luiszuno.com